The Second CSF (Delors'' II Package) for Greece and its Impact on the Greek Economy

The Greek Community Support Framework (CSF), which is operational during the period 1994-99, is designed to finance large-scale development projects and investment in physical and human capital in Greece, aiming to gear the economy onto a sustainable path of economic growth and development. This process of real convergence is viewed as a prerequisite for the cohesion of EU and the sustainability of the nominal convergence objective of the Maastricht Treaty in the way to Economic and Monetary Union of Europe. The paper provides, first, an overview of the Greek CSF and, second, an ex ante assessment of the effects that the Second CSF is likely to have on the economy of Greece. The analysis delineates four types of CSF actions according to whether they aim at (i) raising 'hard' infrastructure, (ii) financing 'soft' infrastructure interventions (such as R&D, health services, etc), (iii) supporting productive investment, and, (iv) training the labour force into new skills and improving the civil service. The effects are analysed first assuming that CSF operates only through raising the components of income and aggregate demand, and then by incorporating externalities on the productivity of output in various sectors and the reduction in costs. We find that in the absence of externalities, output rises during the period of the CSF 1994-99 but then returns to the benchmark course without any lasting improvement. When all types of externalities are taken into account, total output in year 2010 will be higher than baseline by an impressive 9.5%, and will continue to grow at a rate faster by 0.26% per annum than would be otherwise, while employment expands by an average of 95.000 new jobs.     

The Peripheral Halo Effect: Do Academic Spinoffs Influence Universities' Research Income?

Extant literature has drawn attention to the ‘halo effect’ of the good reputation of a core organizational activity on the outcome of a peripheral activity. We contribute to the literature on organizational reputation by illustrating a halo effect in the opposite direction – from the periphery to the core. We show that developing a reputation for a peripheral activity (in our context, universities' social impact via spinoffs) may have positive spillovers for core organizational activities (in our context, university research), a phenomenon we term the ‘peripheral halo effect'. We also show that this effect is more prominent for high‐status than for low‐status organizations. Our research also contributes to the academic‐entrepreneurship literature by revealing that spinoff portfolios can generate income for universities not only directly via equity positions but also indirectly via reputational benefits.     

A four-sector macroeconometric model for Greece and the evaluation of the community support framework 1994–1999

This paper describes a macroeconometric model for Greece and its use for the evaluation of the effects that investment inflows from European Union in the form of the Community Support Framework (CSF) might have on the economy. The model consists of four sectors of economic activity, namely those of traded and non-traded goods, the public and agricultural sectors, and includes a detailed system of price formation, wage setting and public finances. The model is subjected to a number of stylised shocks in domestic and international variables, so that the dynamic properties and multipliers can be analysed. The evaluation of likely CSF effects is conducted by first constructing a benchmark forecast until 2010 and then assess the impact of CSF actions. CSF flows cause both a rise in total demand and in domestic supply through positive supply-side externalities and the evaluation distinguishes between a very low and a full degree of utilising the plausible opportunities. The universal conclusion is that, in the absence of externalities, CSF actions produce only a temporary rise in activity and employment. After the period of inflows expires, the economy will return to the course that would have been the case without the funds. However, if externalities are assumed to operate even at a moderate scale, the picture changes starkly: output, productivity, employment and the exporting capacity of the country improve significantly.     

Determinants of the Capital Structures of European SMEs

The aim of this paper is to examine the degree to which the determinants of SMEs' capital structures differ between European countries. The study is based on data for four thousand SMEs, five hundred from each of eight European countries. Regressions were run using short‐term and long‐term debt as dependent variables and profitability, growth, asset structure, size and age as independent variables. A key feature of this paper is the use of restricted and unrestricted regressions to isolate the country‐effect from the firm‐specific‐effect. The results show that variations are likely to be due to country differences as well as firm‐specific ones.     

Multi-stage product development with exploration,value-enhancing,preemptive and innovation options

We provide a real options framework for the analysis of product development that incorporates research and exploration actions, product attribute value-enhancing actions with uncertain outcome, as well as preemption and innovation options. We derive two-stage analytic formulas and propose a general multi-period solution using a numerical lattice approach. Our analysis reveals that exploration actions are more important when the project is out or at-the-money (near zero NPV) and less important for high project values. In a multi-stage setting, exploration actions are important even for in-the-money projects, when follow-on actions exist that can enhance the expected value of the project. With path-dependency, early actions are more valuable since they enhance the impact or reduce the cost of subsequent actions. Preemptive controls affecting rare event (jump) frequency and innovations that introduce positive jumps are more valuable for firms with higher frequency of competitive threats involving low volatility.     

The Financing of Investment in Utility Assets

This article concerns appropriate ways to finance investment in quasi‐public assets, such as those of utilities. Pursuing the principle of charging the user, analogies are drawn with not‐for‐profit investment, dedicated to the service of users. Focusing on intergenerational equity, an arguably typical pattern of intergenerational investment transactions is identified and proposed as a financing norm. It is shown that, while an investing generation will always experience a real resource cost, the burden can be alleviated in welfare terms if all new investment is financed by borrowing. Charges or taxes levied for maintenance and replacement of assets offer scope for improving the intergenerational welfare balance.     

Can Perceived Support for Entrepreneurship Keep Great Faculty in the Face of Spinouts?

Despite the recent increase in academic entrepreneurship research, we still know relatively little about the degree of involvement of academic inventors in university spinouts. In this study, we distinguish between academic inventors who leave the university after the creation of a spinout (academic exodus) and those who maintain their university affiliation (academic stasis). Drawing from the literature on innovation‐supportive climates and from organizational support theory, we argue that perceptions of institutional support and departmental norms regarding entrepreneurship are associated with the exodus versus stasis decision. We find that inventors who have higher perceptions of institutional support for entrepreneurship are less likely to leave. This relationship is enhanced by perceptions of favorable departmental norms toward entrepreneurship. We discuss the implications of our work for the literature on academic entrepreneurship, innovation‐supportive climates, and perceived organizational support. Our study has clear policy implications for universities, policymakers, and funders who aim to stimulate academic entrepreneurship, but are concerned about losing entrepreneurial faculty. Specifically, we advise universities and policymakers to actively support academic inventors wishing to spin out and to monitor this support in a customer‐friendly manner, in order to ensure that the inventors' perceptions of support are favorable. It is also important for universities to look out for inconsistencies between a supportive environment for entrepreneurship at the institutional level and unfavorable norms toward entrepreneurship at the departmental level; such inconsistencies can lead good faculty members out of academia. More broadly, universities can pursue an aggregation strategy that aims to retain both a research and commercialization identity while building strong links between them.     

Investment options with debt-financing constraints

A contingent claims model is used to study the impact of debt-financing constraints on firm value, optimal capital structure, the timing of investment and other variables, such as credit spreads. The optimal investment trigger follows a U shape as a function of exogenously imposed constraint. Risky, equity-financed R&D growth options increase firm value by increasing the option value on unlevered assets, while their impact on the net benefits of debt is small.